AEROSPACE

sector Overview:

The aerospace industry is seeing a welcome recovery. The civil aviation market has emerged from a post 2001 recession with deliveries of Boeing and Airbus large commercial aircraft higher in number and value: Boeing and Airbus both reported higher orders in 2005 of 1002 and 1055 aircraft respectively and combined deliveries for 2006 are expected to increase further - driven in part by significant growth in Asia. Welcome though the recovery is it remains fragile and as yet is not translating to increased profits for the many of companies in the sector – especially the US based airlines which together lost $10bn. Regional and business aircraft production is expected to stay at the same level in 2006 as 2005 – with increased business aircraft production to serve the fractional ownership and corporate markets making up for the continued drop in regional aircraft deliveries. Overall international passenger traffic in the global airline system grew by 7.6% in 2005 while freight traffic grew by 3.2%.



ONES TO WATCH

Honeywell, last year’s Innovation Leader, continues to grow with higher sales in helicopters and avionics helping to further increase revenues by 8% to $27.7bn and expectations high for hitting $30bn in 2006.

EADS, the European joint venture, which has an increasing commercial order-book from its Airbus business, is also benefiting from sales of the Eurocopter and the Ariane commercial launcher.

Military sales are growing in line with global military budgets which again increased in 2005: Sales of US military aircraft, parts and services reached a record $50bn. Overall aerospace industry sales are expected to grow by around 10% in 2006. Across both civil and military markets, a large number of high-technology component suppliers supporting a much smaller number of aircraft manufacturers in close strategic relationships is one primary characteristic of the sector. There has been significant consolidation of the component and system supply base recently and, just as in the automotive sector, further rationalisation and alliance development is expected. Innovation as much as price is becoming a key differentiator as the convergence of the civil and military markets continues with common final product and component suppliers vying for their shares.

 

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